This page enables you to display statistical forecast values for both system-optimized and manually-specified values to provide easy comparison of the results, with the Croston's method.

You can select a product-customer combination from the context selectors at the top right of the page, and display an overview of the respective System Optimization Results for the Croston's optimization method.

Input to Stat

This card shows the forecast basis input from which the forecast is calculated. Input to stat is set in D2000 - Global Demand Parameters. Where there is more than one forecast basis, for example, if the demand forecast basis for customer-product A has been set to Corrected History, and for customer-product B has been set to Pure Demand, then the Mixed Data Check will be highlighted in pink. To ensure an accurate view of statistical forecasts when you select a customer hierarchy level higher than customer-product at leaf level then the forecast basis for all customer-product combinations must be aligned to the same forecast basis.

Edit Parameters and Effective Parameters

Current parameter values are shown in the Effective Parameters panel. You can configure the parameters in the Edit Parameters panel. When you update parameters, the new values display in the Effective Parameters panel.

Parameters

ParametersValues
Crostons - Optimize

This specifies if the optimization of values is handled by the system:

  • A value of Yes means the system optimizes values itself.
  • A value of No enables the Crostons Alpha and Crostons Beta values to be considered for optimization.
Crostons - Alpha

Enter a value here to override the global D2000 - Global Stat Parameters setting for the selected customer-product record.

The Crostons Optimize parameter must be set to No to make this value effective. If the Crostons Optimize value is set to Yes, it's still possible to enter a value here. However, the value will be ignored.

Crostons - Beta

Enter a value here to override the global D2000 - Global Stat Parameters setting for the selected customer-product record.

The Crostons Optimize parameter must be set to No to make this value effective. If the Crostons Optimize value is set to Yes, it's still possible to enter a value here. However, the value will be ignored.

System Optimized Crostons Method Forecast chart

This chart displays the system-optimized results for the forecast generated by the Croston's method. The chart displays this data:

  • Testing Window
  • Effective Adjusted History
  • Optimized Croston's Method Forecast

Effective Crostons Method Forecast (Input to Best Fit Analysis) chart

This chart displays the system-optimized results for the best-fit analysis generated by the Croston's method. The chart displays this data:

  • Testing Window
  • Effective Adjusted History
  • Optimized Croston's Method Forecast