This page enables you to display statistical forecast values for both system-optimized and manually-specified values to provide easy comparison of the results, with the simple exponential smoothing method.

You can select a product-customer combination from the context selectors in the top-right of the page to display an overview of the respective System Optimization Results for the simple exponential smoothing optimization method.

Input to Stat

This card shows the forecast basis input from which the forecast is calculated. Input to stat is set in D1052w - Data Input to Stat. Where there is more than one forecast basis, for example if the demand forecast basis for customer-product A has been set to Corrected History, and customer-product B has been set to Pure Demand, then the Mixed Data Check will be highlighted in pink. To ensure an accurate view of statistical forecasts when you select a customer hierarchy level higher than customer-product at leaf level,  the forecast basis for all customer-product combinations must be aligned to the same forecast basis.

Edit Parameters and Effective Parameters

Current parameter values are shown in the Effective Parameters card. You can configure the parameters in the Edit Parameters card. When you update parameters, the new values display in the Effective Parameters card.

Parameters

ParametersValues
SES - Optimize

This specifies if the optimization of values is handled by the system:

  • A value of Yes means the system optimizes values itself.
  • A value of No enables the SES - Alpha value to be considered for optimization.
SES - AlphaEnter a value here to override the global D2000 - Global Stat Parameters setting for the selected customer-product record. The SES - Optimize parameter must be set to No to make this value effective. If the SES - Optimize value is set to Yes, it's still possible to enter a value here. However, the value will be ignored.

System Optimized SES Forecast chart

This chart displays the system-optimized results for the forecast generated by the simple exponential smoothing method. The chart displays the following data:

  • Testing Window.
  • Effective Adjusted History.
  • Optimized Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast.

Effective SES Forecast (Input to Best Fit Analysis) chart

This chart displays the system-optimized results for the best-fit analysis generated by the simple exponential smoothing method:

  • Testing Window.
  • Effective Adjusted History.
  • Optimized Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast.