This page enables you to display statistical forecast values for both system-optimized and manually-specified values to provide easy comparison of the results, with the modified Croston's method.

You can select a product-customer combination from the context selectors at the top-right of the page, and display an overview of the respective System Optimization Results for the modified Croston's optimization method.

Input to Stat

This card shows the forecast basis input from which the forecast is calculated. Input to stat is set in D2000 - Global Demand Parameters. Where there is more than one forecast basis, for example if the demand forecast basis for customer-product A has been set to Corrected History, and customer-product B has been set to Pure Demand, then the Mixed Data Check will be highlighted in pink. To ensure an accurate view of statistical forecasts when you select a customer hierarchy level higher than customer-product at leaf level, then the forecast basis for all customer-product combinations must be aligned to the same forecast basis.

Edit Parameters and Effective Parameters

Current parameter values are shown in the Effective Parameters panel. You can configure the parameters in the Edit Parameters panel. When you update parameters, the new values display in the Effective Parameters panel.

Parameters

ParametersValues
Mod Crostons - Optimize

This specifies if the optimization of values is handled by the system:

  • A value of Yes means the system optimizes values itself.
  • A value of No enables the Mod Crostons - Alpha and Mod Crostons - Beta values to be considered for optimization.
Mod Crostons - Alpha

Enter a value here to override the global D2000 - Global Stat Parameters setting for the selected customer-product record.

The Mod Crostons - Optimize parameter must be set to No to make this value effective. If the Mod Crostons - Optimize value is set to Yes, it's still possible to enter a value here. However, the value will be ignored.

Mod Crostons - Beta

Enter a value here to override the global D2000 - Global Stat Parameters setting for the selected customer-product record.

The Mod Crostons - Optimize parameter must be set to No to make this value effective. If the Mod Crostons - Optimize value is set to Yes, it's still possible to enter a value here. However, the value will be ignored.

System Optimized Modified Crostons Forecast

This chart displays the system-optimized results for the forecast generated by the modified Croston's method. The chart displays this data:

  • Testing Window.
  • Effective Adjusted History.
  • Modified Crostons Forecast.

Effective Mod Crostons Forecast (Input to Best Fit Analysis)

This chart displays the system-optimized results for the best-fit analysis generated by the modified Croston's method. The chart displays this data:

  • Testing Window.
  • Effective Adjusted History.
  • Modified Crostons Forecast.